Developments in AI capabilities and industry trends

Dominik Lukeš gave this talk on 30 September 2026 to a group concerned with admissions. He picked five trends from the many: capability, agents, voice, price and detection. Models keep improving rapidly, so everything about capability is a dated observation, and most policies still assume a chatbot. His answer was to raise the standards, and he had no answer yet on what the new baseline for competence should be.

You'll come away with

• A sense of the pace: a new model version every few weeks, and general benchmark scores up by 57 to 76 per cent.
• The move from oracle to toolmaker to tool user, with the always-on assistants launched since February.
• Two consequences he names: if you pay more, you can do more, and assumptions about equity and equality go back to the starting point.
• A way to approach AI detectors: test them on existing data before using them, since false positives are worse than false negatives. His own small experiment gave no false positives, which he says will not hold for everything.

Narration uses a synthetic voice. This video is an AI-assisted summary of the recorded lecture.